2015 January

GUMBALLS on Immigration

Please take 5 min and watch this video!


This is key at so many levels.

Last year, I discovered that MOBILITY is the greatest enemy of poverty, and this presentation hints at that, along with a graphic presentation of the futility of tackling poverty itself…among dozens of other implications of our flawed assumptions about the way the world works.

For your information, we are trying to help those making less than $2 a day, its a tremendous challenge we call the starfish project.
Once upon a time, there was an old man who used to go to the ocean to do his writing. He had a habit of walking on the beach every morning before he began his work. Early one morning, he was walking along the shore after a big storm had passed and found the vast beach littered with starfish as far as the eye could see, stretching in both directions.

Off in the distance, the old man noticed a small boy approaching.  As the boy walked, he paused every so often and as he grew closer, the man could see that he was occasionally bending down to pick up an object and throw it into the sea.  The boy came closer still and the man called out, ”Good morning!  May I ask what it is that you are doing?”

The young boy paused, looked up, and replied “Throwing starfish into the ocean. The tide has washed them up onto the beach and they can’t return to the sea by themselves,” the youth replied. “When the sun gets high, they will die, unless I throw them back into the water.”

The old man replied, “But there must be tens of thousands of starfish on this beach. I’m afraid you won’t really be able to make much of a difference.”
The boy bent down, picked up yet another starfish and threw it as far as he could into the ocean. Then he turned, smiled and said, “It made a difference to that one!”

adapted from The Star Thrower, by Loren Eiseley (1907 – 1977)

Our MyPALs Initiative won’t help many, but it models a way to begin to help.


2015 January

Why Self-awareness and Disclosure is so Important

“I just received the following note from one of our Inner Circle members.  Below the note is my response.”


Thought for the day

When truth is replaced by silence, the silence is a lie

Yevgeny Yevtushenko




2015 January

Game Changer

Solar at grid parity in most of the world within 2 years

January 13, 2015


In their 2015 solar outlook, investment bank Deutsche Bank is predicting that solar systems will be at grid parity (when an alternative energy source cost is lower or equal to that of electricity from the electrical grid) in up to 80 per cent of the global market within 2 years, Renew Economy notes. That’s because … more…



2015 January

How Expensive It Is to Be Poor –


2015 January

We all have the extraordinary coded…

“I just received the following note from one of our Inner Circle members.  Below the note is my response.”



This quote and what is written below sounds a little like @flow…”the process of coaching is like

being a geneticist.”



“We all have the extraordinary coded within us, waiting to be released”

— Jean Houston, Ph.D., scholar, philosopher and researcher


And for those who don’t?

those billions of ordinary people?

what then…

just another blank slate idea to keep the masses in hope…

hope is an amazing elixir, can’t do with out it, but it’s also an illusion that must be tolerated…



2015 January

Unlimited Growth? Infinite Wealth? Or “what’s my line?”

A number of years ago, I read Paul Zane Pilzer’s book:
“To put it simply, we live today in a world of effectively unlimited resources–a world of unlimited wealth.  In short, we live in what one might call a new Alchemic world.” – Unlimited Wealth

Enter: Peak Prosperity and Chris Martenson

“At the essential center of the framework of the Crash Course is the almost insultingly simple idea that endless growth on a finite planet is an impossibility.

It is so simple it could be worked out by a clever 4 year-old. And yet it must not be so simple because the main narrative of every economy in every corner of the globe rests on the idea of endless, infinite growth.

Various rationalizations and mental dodges are made in people’s minds to accommodate the principle of endless growth.  Some avoid thinking of it all together.  Some think that perhaps we will escape into space, and continue our growthful ways on some other yet-to-be named planet(s).  Most simply assume that some new wondrous technology will arise that can allow us to avoid pesky limits.

Whatever the rationalization, none stand up well to simple math and cold logic.

At the very heart of endless growth lies the matter of energy.  To grow forever requires infinite amounts of energy.  Growth and energy are linked in a causal way.”
Now, I understand both arguments.

Both are true…based on their assumptions.

YET, which is reality?

I had thoughts of helping you see how these are developmentally biased…the idea that at one level, one is organizing lower level actions in a non-arbitrary way to arrive at a more complex level of thinking.

Now, which of these is the more hierarchically complex truth?

Since I’m going to use this example for the upcoming MFC program in February, I’ll play with it a little bit here to illustrate how hierarchical complexity of task performance works, or so I imagine, hehe.

If we do a simple concept map, we see (oversimplified now for brevity), we see CM (chris martenson) organizes all the finite physical resources into a “cold logic” and see that we are playing a zero sum game, run out of any of them and things constrain infinite growth (his term btw).

Infinite growth seems like a very complex order of complexity, but I suggest to you, it’s not, basically because 1) it’s not elaborated in any way by him, 2)only “assumed” that we all know what infinite growth is, 3)which means it’s a fairly simple idea for all of us to conceptualize, and that means its not really complex, maybe third order at most! 4) infinite doesn’t mean complex, as most people would gather, since we have a difficult time conceptualizing the term “infinity?”

[For CM fans–which I am one–excuse the simplicity and pandering;) ]

PZP (paul zane pilzer) indicates there are no limits to growth but organizes and coordinates physical resources and NON-physical resources which coordinate “ideas, thoughts, innovation, non-material items.”

In CM, he coordinates and organizes all “PHYSICAL” or material items, with no reference that I can see to non-material, non-physical. In his “cold-logic” (sorry i’m being facetious)…the idea of ideas is not a resource?

In the concept map, you would have RESOURCES made up of material and nonmaterial?

It gets very interesting here, and of course, we start to evoke “values” issues into this discussion as well.

In another form, CM indicates that energy is physical, I can see no reference to any quantum mechanics, only those energy-denominated things we can see, feel, taste, touch, and sense–MATERIAL things again, so the concept map would include energy equivalents noted and assumed, but NOT nonmaterial items such as organized in a non-arbitrary way by the quantum definition of energy + information. (I could be wrong, but I’m filtering for my example, not the truth, or reality;)

Ok, now let me add something:

MHC is a special theory because it attempts to do two things simultaneously (at least as I understand it, and that’s of course what I’m going with, not the truth;)…

It assigns complexity to the task, as well as the response, so each side have a HC, and to the extent that the response is equal to the task, we can propose a HC (hierarchical complexity).

Now, what’s interesting about cold logic, is who uses it, I guess.

If you define a boundary and you say I am going to organize all the things and coordinate them within this boundary, that is one thing. However, while the “set parameters may be true” the response, or the task is only as complex as the set.

If CM defines all resources as material, then coordinates and integrates those material resources to conclude through “cold logic” that we are running out of resources and thus can not continue infinite growth, that is an argument and conclusion based on his notion of boundaries, which he seems pretty clear about and that is material resources.

However, here we have a guy–>PZP come along and say, that’s all well and good, but if you include nonmaterial resources, you can coordinate and integrate lower order in a non-arbitrary way into a different HC…and he does.

His argument “for this example” is more HC.

Again the concept map:






He organizes and integrates his solution based on a less complex (HC) task, which is to organize all material resources in a non-arbitrary way, which he does well, noting that energy is the linchpin which governs (non-arbitrarily) growth and limits growth, not alone disparages infinite growth (which I do also btw, but whether you, me or we like it, infinite growth may be at the root of all things to organize!;)

PZP says, wait a minute, you forgot the whole category of nonmaterial resources–>ideas, innovation, patents, information equivalents, etc.

RK (ray Kurzweil) goes farther and looks at technology as another task/response to organize and coordinate…fyi…and yet more than likely a more HC task and response in non-arbitrary formulation emerges.

CM organizes and coordinates all material resources and the task/response is at one level of HC–more than likely a “systematic” level, although there are probably elements of metasystematic reasoning present, but the inability to realize, organize and include nonmaterial resources, and organize them with material resources is not the same level of HC as someone who is able to see clearly that what happens materially is governed by what happens nonmaterially as well…and of course, if we look at the idea of removing the limits to growth as defined by physical resources–someone invents a bug to eat pollution, as an example (not truth)…then of course we see that our “bounded” or rather CMs bounded assumptions are not the truth, only as far as those assumptions hold…but a truth emergent from a particular level of HC.

Now, many will say…

WHY on earth would you go to this much trouble to think about your thinking? Or for that matter, CM or PZP?

I think the exercise can be helpful for critical thinking and decision making in a VUCA world.

Now, there is no implied guidance here that a more complex argument, task or response is actually in truth, or reality, more efficient, effective and sustainable (EES)…than the other because the most EES task or response is always the combination with the narrowest gap and the least entropy associated–>I suspect.

What that means is that each situation, or in the case of HC, need be no more complex than necessary to achieve a favorable or desired result, but when a person names a task which is less complex, as in CM’s notion of using only material resources to define history…then the solution will also be less complex than reality! And that too, I also suspect.

So, what is the wrapper here?

What did you learn?

Name three things you learned and can apply to other leader situations?

[Of course you can argue all my points, but it was designed to be a real-life example within boundaries of the complexity used for helping people understand HC and how it applies in real life ideas.]



2015 January

Cost of Living

“I just received the following note from one of our Inner Circle members.  Below the note is my response.”




Here is an interesting article



Dr. Ajai Singh

Master Leadership Coach



Ph also at the bottom

Thx for sending!



2015 January

An Asymmetrical Recovery? /articles


“…smaller MSAs are likely to provide better balance between wages and quality of life over the longer term.”

This report really speaks to certain aspects of the future, such as the collapse wave…in progress

Also, I think the reason smaller MSAs have better quality of life overall…is due to the absence of so much boom and bust, high growth, and a steadier–more mature, or steady business climate provides more predictability for well-being, people staying who are long-term focused, not either the boom and busters or the transients…

When I spent most of my time in Mitchell, (1800), the people who were there were there for the long-term, they never considered moving, even though most of their kids didn’t come back right away, over time, children replaced dying parents in commodity businesses, but the well-being was high because of community, long-term thinking and loyalty to the future of the place…

This doesn’t happen in large MSAs, except in communities that maintain over time…

This is a report by the Association of Counties on the economic state of the 3,069 counties in the U.S.

Stats reveal the imbalances in the economic recovery.  Here are the highlights

  • 95% of the county economies have not recovered on unemployment rates by 2014
  • 63% of the county economies did experience faster job growth than in 2013. This trend was in counties with populations between 50,000 and 500,000
  • Economic output (GDP) expanded in slightly more than 50% of the counties. The other half experienced contraction.
  • 81% of the counties experienced home price increases but at slower rates.
  • 2% of the counties have fully recovered to pre-recession levels. Most of them have booming energy and agriculture sectors (in states such as Alaska, Kansas, Montana, North Dakota or Texas)
  • Large county economies continued to generate a disproportionate share of the new jobs in 2014, 57 percent relative to their 49 percent share of total county employment.
  • Only 38 percent of the net jobs created in the 124 large county economies were in industries paying above the 2013 average wage in their residing county.
  • In the small county economies — with less than 50,000 people — 45 percent of the jobs created were in industries paying above the county average, most often in industries such as oil, gas and mining, manufacturing and construction.
  • 50% of the county economies had declining adjusted wages in 2013. Small county economies, in counties with less than 50,000 people, fared better than the rest, with average county wage growing in 53 percent of them between 2012 and 2013.

The full report is here with graphics.

The recovery is asymmetrical for sure and being in a big county (city) is where a citizen has a higher likelihood to get a job but it will be lower paying than in the small counties.

2015 January

Special Report: 10-Year Journey of Deepening Radicalism Turned Paris Brothers Into Hardened Killers

I just received the following note from one of our Inner Circle members.  Below the note is my response.



Saturday, January 17, 2015 12:43 PM EST

10-Year Journey of Deepening Radicalism Turned Paris Brothers Into Hardened Killers

In the year after the United States’ invasion of Iraq, a 22-year-old pizza delivery man here couldn’t take it anymore. Sickened by images of American soldiers humiliating Muslims at the Abu Ghraib prison, he made plans to fight United States forces in Iraq. He studied a virtual AK-47 on a website. Then he took lessons from a man, using a hand-drawn picture of a gun.

It was an almost laughable attempt at jihad, and as the day of his departure approached, the delivery man, Chérif Kouachi, felt increasingly unsure of himself.

“Several times, I felt like pulling out,” he later told investigators. “I didn’t want to die there.”

A decade later, Chérif Kouachi, flanked by his older brother Saïd, no longer had any reservations, as the two black-clad jihadists, sheathed in body armor, gave a global audience a ruthless demonstration in terror.

Walking with military precision into the guarded Paris offices of the satirical newspaper Charlie Hebdo, they killed 12 people in the name of Allah. Then in the hours before the brothers died in a gunfight with police, Chérif took a call from a reporter, to make sure the world knew they carried out the attack on behalf of Al Qaeda’s branch in Yemen.

Much remains unclear about the brothers’ lives. But thousands of pages of legal documents obtained by The New York Times, including minutes of interrogations, summaries of phone taps, intercepted jailhouse letters and a catalog of images and religious texts found on the laptops of Chérif Kouachi and Amedy Coulibaly, an associate who would later synchronize his own terror attack with the Kouachi brothers, reveal an arc of radicalization that saw them become steadily more professional and more discreet.


“Mike’s response…”

I disagree.

There are thousands, if not hundreds of thousands who have similar experiences…

Why are they not all killers…?


2015 January

Test Finds College Graduates Lack Skills for White-Collar Jobs

A survey of business owners to be released next week by the American Association Colleges and Universities also found that nine out of 10 employers judge recent college graduates as poorly prepared for the work force in such areas as critical thinking, communication and problem solving.

“Employers are saying I don’t care about all the knowledge you learned because it’s going to be out of date two minutes after you graduate … I care about whether you can continue to learn over time and solve complex problems,” said Debra Humphreys, vice president for policy and public engagement at AAC&U, which represents more than 1,300 schools.


I just wrote a client about what I saw as a dearth of embedded development in the activities of senior managers…